Monday, October 07, 2013

Millennials and the anti-driving myth

Photo from the Antiplanner

Randal O'Toole on the myth of the anti-car generation:

At least once a week, the Antiplanner encounters an urban plan that assumes that millennials and other young people will be much less inclined to drive cars and own their own homes than Americans have been in the past. But a new study from researchers at UCLA reaches the same conclusions as other researchers reported by the Antiplanner: young people drive less because of the weak economy, not because they prefer to walk and take transit...Similarly, a 2013 survey from PulteGroup, a home builder, finds that the vast majority of people between 18 and 34 aspire to own their own homes. Among those whose incomes are above $50,000, 65 percent say they hope to buy a home in the next year. Similar results were found from a 2012 poll by Better Homes and Gardens Realty and a 2011 survey by the National Association of Home Builders.

...Of course, there is always the possibility that the economy will never recover, in which case home ownership and driving rates will remain down. As the Soviet Union proved, the key to a successful smart-growth policy of dense cities with minimal auto usage is poverty...

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7 Comments:

At 12:10 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

the same conclusions as other researchers reported by the Antiplanner: young people drive less because of the weak economy, not because they prefer to walk and take transit...

The one thing the Antiplanner has not accounted for is that we have Barack Obama as President. This is the new normal - the economy will ALWAYS be weak, so young people will be forced to ride bikes while the chinese drive cars.

Maybe O'Toole should get out of the Antiplanning business and get into the Anti-Kenyan-socialists business.

 
At 4:31 PM, Anonymous sfthen said...

Of course soon no one will need a car because no one will live in the suburbs and according to the ad nauseum New Urbanist diatribes we are witnessing
The End of the Suburbs.

 
At 8:13 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You just keep losing. You're the Jacksonville Jaguars of public policy.

http://www.cyclelicio.us/2013/california-governor-signs-bill-exempting-bike-plans-from-environmental-review/

 
At 9:53 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/end-suburbia-may-nearly-upon-153637167.html

Of course, then people have kids and want to go to better schools in the suburbs. Except that suburban schools are declining due to plummeting property taxes, and urban schools are getting more money due to increasing property taxes. And the money is flowing to urban schools from donations as well...

http://sfist.com/2013/10/07/loaded_tech_guy_does_nice_thing_for.php

 
At 9:54 AM, Blogger Rob Anderson said...

"Maybe O'Toole should get out of the Antiplanning business and get into the Anti-Kenyan-socialists business."

Odd that the Kenyan socialist bailed out the banksters after they ran the world's economy in a ditch. Instead he would have been a lot more popular if he had---after some well-publicized perp-walks---had some of them shot.

 
At 9:58 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Rob, the public hates bikers, not bankers. If it wasn't for bikers robbing our cities blind with their bike lanes, there would be enough money for millenials to afford houses in the suburbs.

 
At 10:42 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ditch-car-dying-suburbs-revived-124726560.html

 

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