Friday, January 28, 2005

The Market/Octavia "template"

Last night, at the Hayes Valley Neighborhood Association meeting, District 5 Supervisor Ross Mirkarimi told the gathering that the Market/Octavia Plan should be a "template" for neighborhoods all over the city. 

Either Ross hasn't read the plan or he hasn't read it very carefully. He's apparently mostly talking to the Planning Dept. and boosters for The Market/Octavia Neighborhood Plan, a deeply delusional document which, if passed as part of the General Plan, will threaten city neighborhoods for years to come. 

Like the Housing Element passed last year, the main thrust of this document is to waive zoning rules on density and height limits and parking requirements for new housing in the Market/Octavia area to encourage housing developers. 

Ross seems to buy the current line in progressive circles---encouraged by John King's recent gushing review in the SF Chronicle---that the Market/Octavia area is already a great victory in modern urban planning, even though Octavia Blvd. won't be finished until this summer. 

There are also 900 new housing units in the works for the old freeway property that lines Octavia Blvd., and they presumably won't be done for several years.

In short, the jury is still way out on the Market/Octavia area. The old freeway entrance/exit was torn down in that neighborhood, and, when the road work is done this summer, the freeway entrance/exit will be on the other side of Market St. across from Octavia Blvd. 

Hence, we're going to have freeway traffic that formerly emptied onto Fell St. entering and exiting the freeway from the southern side of Market, with a lot of it pouring through the heart of Hayes Valley on Octavia Blvd. If nothing else, that's going to a horrendous intersection! We won't know how bad the traffic is going to be until later this year, though, ominously, there are now six lanes under construction on Octavia Blvd. to handle that traffic.

Last night it was good to hear Ross's skepticism of UC's still-appalling proposal to put 424 housing units---it was 500 until this week---on the old UC Extension site[Later: Ross rolled over for UC and City Hall]

But he needs to understand that the grotesque, neighborhood-destroying UC plan is a logical extension of the principles of the Market/Octavia Plan. Those principles essentially involve waiving density and height limitations in an already densely-populated neighborhood, along with allowing developers to build new units without parking spaces, which developers love because it's cheaper. 

The idea of the latter principle is that, in a city where transit-first principles are law, not requiring a parking space for each new unit somehow encourages people to not own and use automobiles. 

Since the new housing units are near the Market St. transit corridor, the theory goes, many of the new residents won't need to own or use a car. This seems like fantasy to me. Surely those who rent the new market-rate units in that area will be able to afford cars, and when people can afford a car they usually have one.

That's why what I call Free Market Progressives who support the supposedly wonderful Market/Octavia Plan also support the shockingly bad UC proposal to put 424 new housing units on the extension site near the Market/Octavia neighborhood. I noticed that prominent progressive activists Tes Welborn (HANC) and Katherine Roberts (Trees Not Cars) were both at the AF Evans/Mercy---the developers chosen by UC---schmooze session last Tuesday night. And both were vocally in favor of the UC proposal.

The greatest threat to the city's neighborhoods in generations is this unholy developer/progressive alliance. These "We Need Housing" progressives are now in sync with profiteering developers to increase height and density in the city's neighborhoods.

Many people were puzzled when Joe O'Donoghue, head of the Residential Builders Association, endorsed Matt Gonzalez rather than Gavin Newsom in the last mayoral election. 

It's now clear why: Matt, while opposing box stores in the neighborhoods, was a housing uber alles guy, ready to rewrite the city's planning code to encourage housing development in the neighborhoods. 

One concedes that progressives have good intentions here. There is indeed a chronic housing crisis in San Francisco, with rent and housing costs well out of the reach of most working people---and even many middle-class people, for that matter. 

But the We Need Housing at any cost approach reflects what is really a free market approach to the city's housing problem, that is, build so much new housing that the supply will exceed the demand and prices will go down.

But San Francisco is a small geographical area, a mere 49 square miles. If housing development isn't done carefully, we will surely throw the baby out with the bath water, which we are in the process of doing right now.

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